Thursday, 23 September 2010

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Missing: The sad history of the Second Round Toronto Raptors draft pick


The historical relationship between the Toronto Raptors and the First Round draft pick has been a decidedly mixed affair. Impressive drafting of high-end talent (McGrady, Stoudamire, Jamison-Carter), has been tempered by perplexing reaches (Bradley, Villanueva) and outright disasters (Araujo, Radojevic, Graham). While these picks have become mainstream fodder for the faithful, a less apparent failure continues to go unnoticed by the masses. A failure that is more representative of the perennial mismanagement of this franchise. It is a failure of foresight and long-term vision. This failure is the Second Round Toronto Raptors draft pick.

While mining quality NBA talent from the Second Round is a decidedly risky and seemingly lucky affair, the sheer lack of success of the Toronto Raptors in this area is both perplexing and revealing.

A direct reflection on a franchise’s scouting staff to see beyond the obvious, and project serviceable talent where other franchises cannot, the Raptors have paraded the following Second Round draft picks since their inception.

1995- Jimmie King

1996- No Second Round pick made

1997- No Second Round pick made

1998- Tyson Wheeler

1999- No Second Round pick made

2000- DeeAndre Hulett

2001 – No Second Round pick made

2002 – No Second Round pick made

2003- Remon Van de Hare

2004- Albert Miralles

2005- Roko Ukic, Uros Slokar

2006- PJ Tucker, Edin Bavcic

2007- No Second Round pick made

2008- No Second Round pick made

2009- No Second Round pick made

After seeing this list, you may be naturally inclined to say:

1. Sorry, who are these guys again?
2. How many of these picks actually played a game for the Raptors?
3. How have the Raptors made only 9 Second Round draft picks in 15 years?
4. Remon Van de what?

The above list highlights how numerous iterations of Raptors management have devalued the worthiness of the Second Round draft pick (see 9 total picks in 15 years), or approached it frivolously enough that they have never drafted a Second Rounder who amounted to a long-term role player, let alone starter.

Why devote additional resources to scout seemingly marginal talent? Take a look at the following Second Rounders taken during the Raptors existence.

1995- Eric Snow

1996- Othella Harrington, Malike Rose, Jeff McInnis

1997- Stephen Jackson

1998- Rashard Lewis, Ruben Patterson

1999- Manu Ginobili

2000- Michael Redd, Eddie House

2001- Mehmet Okur, Gilbert Arenas

2002- Carlos Boozer

2003- Kyle Korver, Zaza Pachulia, Steven Blake, Luke Walton

2004- Anderson Varejao, Chris Duhon, Trevor Ariza

2005- Monta Ellis

2006- Paul Millsap

2007- Carl Landry, Marc Gasol, Ramon Sessions

2008- Mario Chalmers, Luc Mbah a Moute,

2009- DeJuan Blair, Jonas Jerebko, Marcus Thornton, Patrick Mills

Sure, many of these picks are not stars and were made before the Raptors could choose their respective pick, but then you would have to ask:

1. Wouldn’t any of these players have been a significant upgrade over ANY Raptors Second Round Pick? (easy answer, YES!!!)
2. When have the Raptors ever traded to move up in the Second Round? (Realistically, they shouldn’t have to. A team that has averaged 33 wins a season over its existence should have a bevy of early Second Round picks at its disposal).

So, yes, there have been some solid to spectacular picks made in Round 2, but not every franchise has had the foresight and vision (and luck) to draft a Ginobili-like player. So how has every team done in drafting at least one serviceable Second Round player? Let’s look at the best Second Round picks each team has made in the past fifteen years.

Franchise Second Round pick with best NBA career (1995-2009)

Celtics Darius Songaila

Knicks Trevor Ariza

Nets Kyle Korver

76ers Lou Williams

Bulls Matt Bonner

Cavaliers Carlos Boozer

Pistons Mehmet Okur

Pacers Fred Hoiberg

Hawks Solomon Jones

Bobcats Ryan Hollins

Heat Eddie House

Magic Anderson Varejao

Wizards Steve Blake, Andray Blatche

TWolves Mario Chalmers

Sonics/Thunder Rashard Lewis

Nuggets Jeff McInnis

Blazers Travis Outlaw

Jazz Paul Millsap

Warriors Monta Ellis, Gilbert Arenas

Clippers Marko Jaric

Lakers Marc Gasol, Ruben Patterson

Suns Stephen Jackson

Kings Jerome James

Mavericks Greg Buckner

Rockets Carl Landry

Grizzlies Matt Barnes

Hornets Malik Rose

Spurs Manu Ginobili

Raptors Ukic.. erm King… sorry, Slokar…um…

While not all teams have hit the jackpot in the Second Round, the average fan can at least recognize any name on this list; and you would be hard-pressed to find any Raptors Second Pick that could exceed the accomplishments of any of these players. Sure, you may draft an occasional Van de Here from time to time; but when that type of player becomes the norm, rather than the exception, you have a problem.

So why are Second Round picks so valuable in today’s NBA?

1. International players. More than ever, talented International players are filling out NBA rosters as key rotation players. These players, often less scrutinized and scouted than their American collegiate counterparts, often slip to the Second Round. More often than not, the modern NBA surprise draft pick is a Second Round Euro.
2. Salary Cap. Solid drafting in the Second Round affords franchises from having to fill out roster spots from the free-agent ranks (mid-level exception, etc), and provides immediate short-term cost certainty benefits (no Second Round rookie salary scale and commitments).
3. Overseas/D-league development. Thanks to strengthening European leagues and the developmental D-League, NBA teams have taken to allowing their Second Round picks to stay in Europe to develop, or send them to the D-League to work on their games. On the international front, this benefits the players, as they continue to make more lucrative foreign money, and allows NBA teams have their picks develop overseas before arriving to the NBA as immediate contributors (see Marc Gasol and Manu Ginobili).

It is no secret that many model franchises (San Antonio, Portland) invest heavily in acquiring and drafting Second Round picks. To highlight the importance of how a Second Round pick can be to rounding out a roster, let’s finally look at the most recent NBA champions and the Second Round picks that contributed to their success:

2009- Lakers: Trevor Ariza (impact wing defender)

2008- Celtics: Glen Davis (low-post banger with solid inside touch) and Eddie House (instant off-the-bench offense and 3-pt gunner)

2007- Spurs: Manu Ginobili (star 6th man and offensive catalyst, Matt Bonner (solid rotation big, 3pt floor-spreader)

2006- Heat: Jason Kapono (3pt specialist)

2005- Spurs: Manu Ginobili (see above)

2003 Spurs: Manu Ginobili, Stephen Jackson

Second Round picks are now staples of every roster, and contributing to team success more than ever (Amir Johnson, Sonny Weems anyone?). In the face of this mounting evidence, what should the Toronto Raptors do? First and foremost, invest in enhanced overseas scouting (not solely for free-agent acquisition), and 2. use MLSE’s financial might to buy second-round picks from other teams. At a minimum, the Raptors should be making at least one Second Round draft pick per year and utilizing their European connections to draft and store these players in Europe until they are ready to contribute in the NBA (like they did for Roko Ukic… a good start). If the Raptors are serious about competing for a championship, they can no longer ignore and mismanage the second half of draft-night. Sure, you may not strike gold with a Ginobili, but with some emphasis and luck, you should end up more than some sawdust and Ukic. 
















 










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